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Forest Scanner
Based on arXiv:2508.03474 set theory ↗
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Broken Sums Found
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Events with sum < $1.00
Logical Conflicts
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Parent/child violations
Best Rebalancing
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Guaranteed profit %
Total Exposure
$0
0 executions today
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Broken Sums (Rebalancing Opportunities)
0
Auto-execute
| Event | Outcomes | Total Cost | Guaranteed Profit | Action |
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Logical Conflicts (Containment Violations)
0
Auto-execute
| Parent Market | Child Market | Parent Price | Child Price | Type | Action |
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Activity Log
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Theory & Risk Notes
Rebalancing Arbitrage
In a mutually exclusive event (e.g., "Who wins?"), exactly ONE outcome will resolve to $1.00. If you can buy ALL outcomes for less than $1.00 total, you lock in guaranteed profit.
Combinatorial Arbitrage
If event A is a superset of event B, then P(A) ≥ P(B). For example, "BTC > $90k" contains "BTC > $100k". If the child is priced higher than the parent, buy the cheap parent.
⚠ Risks
- Rebalancing: Must execute ALL orders or NONE. Partial fills create naked exposure.
- Liquidity: Low-liquidity markets may not fill at displayed prices.
- Timing: Prices can move between detection and execution.